Measurement and Assessment of Precarious Employment of University Graduates for the Regional Labour Market

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2024-4-19

Keywords:

precarious employment, young specialists, regional labour market, university, higher education, university graduates, human capital

Abstract

In rapidly changing societies, where economic integration and the digitalization of labor relations are accelerating, the socio-economic position of young professionals in the labor market is increasingly viewed through the lens of their human capital. The pace of technological advancement highlights the need for innovative tools to evaluate the stability of youth employment in the face of external influences. This study examines university graduates’ adaptation to the evolving labor market. The study aims to assess the risk of university graduates entering precarious employment, with a focus on their educational background. Sociological data were collected six months after respondents’ graduation from a major Russian university (n = 7,706), based on six annual cross-sectional surveys conducted from 2017 to 2022 using a unified methodology. Results revealed a rising trend in precarious employment among young workers in the Ural Federal District, reaching 38.7 % in 2022. An innovative algorithm, developed by using an indicative approach and mathematical methods such as the Cobb-Douglas production function, was applied to calculate precarious employment risks based on data from 2017–2021 (n=6,500). These risks were found to vary depending on graduates’ educational levels and majors. The study offers practical tools to expand the understanding of precarious employment characteristics and to identify such risks across various professions, providing valuable insights for policy-making in the sphere of labor market regulation and employment strategies.

Author Biographies

Anastasia D. Melnik , Ural Federal University named after the first President of Russia B. N. Yeltsin

Cand. Sci. (Soc.), Senior Research Associate, Research Laboratory of University Development Problems; Scopus Author ID: 57190430255; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0273-4422 (19, Mira St., Ekaterinburg, 620002, Russian Federation; e-mail: a.d.sushchenko@urfu.ru).

Alexandr A. Tarasyev , Ural Federal University

Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Senior Research Associate, Research Laboratory of University Development Problems; Scopus Author ID: 555806152800; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8585-0837 (19, Mira St., Ekaterinburg, 620002, Russian Federation; e-mail: a.a.tarasyev@urfu.ru).

 

Gavriil A. Agarkov , Ural Federal University

Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Head of Laboratory, Research Laboratory of University Development Problems; Scopus Author ID: 56582108700; https://orcid.org/0000–0002-6533–3557 (19, Mira St., Ekaterinburg, 620002, Russian Federation; e-mail: g.a.agarkov@urfu.ru).

Vsevolod S. Karavaev , Ural Federal University

Lecturer, Department of Systems Analysis and Decision Making; https://orcid.org/0009-0003-1618-6831 (19, Mira St., Ekaterinburg, 620002, Russian Federation; e-mail: v.s.karavaev@urfu.ru).

References

Allen, J., & Van der Velden, R. (2007). Transitions from higher education to work. Careers of university graduates: Views and experiences in comparative perspectives (pp. 55–78). Springer Netherlands. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020–5926-1_4

Anisimov, R. I. (2019). Precarious employment in Russia: major indicators and scales of distribution. Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya [Sociological Studies], (9), 64–72. https://doi.org/10.31857/S013216250006652-0 (In Russ.)

Armano, E., & Murgia, A. (2013). The precariousnesses of young knowledge workers: A subject-oriented approach. Global Discourse, 3 (3-4), 486–501. https://doi.org/10.1080/23269995.2013.865313

Bobkov, V. N., Kvachev, V. G., & Novikova, I. V. (2018). Precarious Employment in the Regions of Russian Federation: Sociological Survey Results. Ekonomika regiona [Economy of region], 14 (2), 366–379. https://doi.org/10.17059/2018-2-3 (In Russ.)

Castel, R. (2009). Metamorfozy sotsial’nogo voprosa. Khronika naemnogo truda [Metamorphoses of the social question: A chronicle of the wage labor]. Translated from French and edited by N. A. Shmatko. St. Petersburg: Aletheia Publ., 574. (In Russ.)

Gasyukova, E. N. (2014). Features of precarization of the Russian labor market. Vestnik Rossiyskogo gosudarstvennogo torgovo-ekonomicheskogo universiteta (RGTEU) [Hearld of the Russian State Trade and Economic University (RGTEU)], (12), 42–54. (In Russ.)

Karabchuk, T., & Roshchina, Y. (2022). Predictors of student engagement: the role of universities’ or importance of students’ background? European Journal of Higher Education, 13 (3), 327–346. https://doi.org/10.1080/21568235.2022.2035240

Khartchenko, V. S. (2014). Way of life of Russian free-lancers — a sociological analysis. Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya [Sociological Studies], (4), 54–63. (In Russ.)

Khlebnikov, N. A., Obabkov, I. N., Knyazev, S. T., Sandler, D. G., Shesterov, M. A., & Kuklin, I. E. (2023). Organizational model of project-based learning in undergraduate studies. Universitetskoe upravlenie: praktika i analiz [University Management: Practice and Analysis], 27 (1), 50–57. https://doi.org/10.15826/umpa.2023.01.006 (In Russ.)

Kidd, W., & Czerniawski, G. (2015). Student Voice Handbook: Bridging the Academic / Practitioner Divide. Emerald Group Publishing Limited.

Koksharov, V. A., Agarkov, G. A., & Sushchenko, A. D. (2020). Precarisation of Labour as a Growing Form of Employment of Young Specialists in the Context of the Сovid-19 Pandemic. Ekonomika regiona [Economy of Region], 16 (4), 1061–1071. https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2020-4-4 (In Russ.)

Koksharov, V. A., Agarkov, G. A., & Sushchenko, A. D. (2021). Universities as Centres of Attraction for Proactive Youth in the Ural Region. Ekonomika regiona [Economy of Region], 17 (3), 828–841. https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2021-3-8 (In Russ.)

Kolosova, A. I., Rudakov, V. N., & Roshchin, S. Yu. (2020). The impact of job–education match on graduate salaries and job satisfaction. Voprosy Ekonomiki, (11), 113–132. https://doi.org/10.32609/0042–8736-2020-11-113-132 (In Russ.)

Kuchenkova, A. V. (2021). Employment precarization as a factor of wages differentiation and social wellbeing. Vestnik Rossiiskogo universiteta druzhby narodov. Seriya: Sotsiologiya [RUDN Journal of Sociology], 21 (1), 84–96. https://doi.org/10.22363/2313–2272-2021-21-1-84-96 (In Russ.)

Merenkov, A. V., Antonova, N. L., Bakhtin, E. L., & Popova, G. I. (2023). Universities as a Source of Precarious Employment. Integratsiya obrazovaniya [Integration of Education], 27 (2), 273–288. https://doi.org/10.15507/1991–9468.111.027.202302.273-288 (In Russ.)

Poplavskaya, A. A. (2022). Factors of internal and external work values formation among Russian universities’ students. Monitoring obshchestvennogo mneniya: ekonomicheskie i sotsial’nye peremeny [Monitoring of Public Opinion: economic and Social Changes], (2), 181–206. https://doi.org/10.14515/monitoring.2022.2.2071 (In Russ.)

Popov, A. V., & Solov’eva, T. S. (2019). Analyzing and classifying the implications of employment precarization: individual, organizational and social levels. Ekonomicheskie i sotsial’nye peremeny: fakty, tendentsii, prognoz [Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast], 12 (6), 182–196. https://doi.org/10.15838/esc.2019.6.66.10 (In Russ.)

Popov, A. V., & Soloveva, T. S. (2021). The present and future of the employment paradigm in the context of global changes. Journal of Applied Economic Research, 20 (2), 327–355. https://doi.org/10.15826/vestnik.2021.20.2.014 (In Russ.)

Rudakov, V., & Roshchin, S. (2019). The impact of student academic achievement on graduate salaries: the case of a leading Russian university. Journal of Education and Work, 32 (2), 156–180. https://doi.org/10.1080/13639080.2019.1617839

Schomburg, H., & Teichler, U. (2006). Higher education and graduate employment in Europe: results from graduates surveys in twelve countries. Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020–5154-8

Sinyavskaya, O. V., Biryukova, S. S., Apothecary, A. P., Gorvat, E. S., Grishchenko, N. B., Gudkova, T. B., & Kareva, D. E. (2021). Platformennaya zanyatost’: opredelenie i regulirovanie [Platform employment: definition and regulation]. Moscow: Higher School of Economics Publishing House, 78. (In Russ.)

Solovova, N. V., Sukhankina, N. V., & Slatov, D. G. (2022). Labor Market Precarization: Russian and Foreign Experience of Its Regulation. In Ashmarina S. I., Mantulenko V. V., Vochozka M. (Eds.). Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference “Smart Nations: Global Trends in the Digital Economy”. Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, Vol. 397 (pp. 99–109). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-94873-3_13

Standing, G. (2011). The Precariat: The New Dangerous Class. Bloomsbury Academic.

Sudakova, A. E., Agarkov, G. A., & Shorikov, A. F. (2018). Optimization of the graduates labour market: dynamic modeling, Russian and foreign experience. IFAC-PapersOnLine, 51 (32), 401–406. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2018.11.417

Temnitskiy, A. L. (2023). Does Precarity of Employment Affect all Spheres of Life? Sotsiologicheskie issledovaniya [Sociological Studies], (2), 158–164. https://doi.org/10.31857/S013216250023437-3 (In Russ.)

Toshchenko, Zh. T. (2021). Prekarnaya zanyatost’: istoki, kriterii, osobennosti [Precarious employment: origins, criteria, features]. Moscow: Publishing house “Ves Mir”, 400. (In Russ.)

Toshchenko, Zh. T. (2022). A new socio-economic phenomenon: precariat. Noonomika i nooobshchestvo. Al’manakh trudov INIR im. S. Yu. Vitte [Noonomy and Noosociety. Almanac of Scientific Works of the S. Y. Witte INID], 1 (1), 146–161. https://doi.org/10.37930/2782-618X-2022-1-1-146-161 (In Russ.)

Vives, A., González, F., Moncada, S., Llorens, C., & Benach, J. (2015). Measuring precarious employment in times of crisis: the revised Employment Precariousness Scale (EPRES) in Spain. Gaceta Sanitaria, 29 (5), 379–382. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gaceta.2015.06.008

Zborovsky, G. E., & Ambarova, P. A. (2018). Higher education as a factor of the cities’ preservation in the Ural MacroRegion. Ekonomika regiona [Economy of Region], 14 (3), 914–926. https://doi.org/10.17059/2018-3-16 (In Russ.)

Published

29.12.2024

How to Cite

Melnik . А. Д. ., Tarasyev А. А. ., Agarkov Г. А. ., & Karavaev В. С. . (2024). Measurement and Assessment of Precarious Employment of University Graduates for the Regional Labour Market. Economy of Regions, 20(4), 1268–1282. https://doi.org/10.17059/ekon.reg.2024-4-19

Issue

Section

Social Development of Regions