2072-64142411-140610.17059/ekon.reg.2025-1-11The Computable General Equilibrium Models for Migration Analysis: Bibliometric ApproachАнализ миграции с помощью вычислимых моделей общего равновесия: библиометрический подходhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-9215-9729SugaipovDeni R. Сугаипов Дени Ризванович sugaipov-dr@ranepa.ruRussian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public AdministrationРоссийская академия народного хозяйства и государственной службы при Президенте Российской ФедерацииFinancial University under the Government of the Russian FederationФинансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации211151165Copyright © 2025 Deni R. Sugaipov2025Deni R. SugaipovCC BY 4.0Copyright © 2025 Дени Ризванович Сугаипов2025Дени Ризванович СугаиповCC BY 4.0https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/view/876https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/download/876/408

Computable general equilibrium (CGE) models are widely used to analyse the effects of migration on macroeconomic indicators in both origin and destination countries. Given the often-controversial results of this modelling approach, this paper seeks to systematize the existing experience in constructing CGE models for migration analysis. The methodology includes a bibliometric analysis incorporating complex humanitarian expertise. The analysis indicates that CGE models have gained prominence in assessing migration effects, with their application in high-ranking journals and a substantial number of citations. The literature review reveals that many migration models build on trade models that incorporate realistic assumptions about technological distribution across countries. Additionally, the geographic characteristics of regions play a key role in the diffusion of migration effects. Several studies highlight the significant economic impacts of migration. While migration is often associated with improvements in regional well-being in destination countries, emigration can lead to productivity declines in origin countries due to labour outflows. Furthermore, the effects on wages depend on the skill composition of migrants, with potential disparities between high-skilled and low-skilled workers. A promising avenue for future research lies in constructing CGE models tailored for developing countries, with a particular focus on social tensions and firm heterogeneity.

Вычислимые модели общего равновесия широко используются для анализа влияния миграции на макроэкономические показатели как в странах происхождения, так и в странах назначения. В свете противоречивых результатов, полученных в рамках модельного подхода в данной статье ставится задача систематизировать опыт построения CGE-моделей миграции. Методология исследования включает библиометрический анализ с комплексной гуманитарной экспертизой. В последние годы CGE-модели стали популярным инструментом в изучении последствий миграции. Исследования, использующие этот подход, хорошо представлены в престижных журналах и имеют высокий уровень цитируемости. Обзор литературы показывает, что многие модели миграции основаны на моделях торговли, которые включают реалистичные предположения о распределении технологий между странами. Географические особенности населенных пунктов также играют решающую роль в распространении эффектов миграции. В то время как в странах назначения часто фиксируется связь между миграцией и улучшением благосостояния в регионах, в странах происхождения эмиграция может привести к снижению производительности из-за оттока рабочей силы. В целом, в странах с положительной чистой миграцией снижение миграционных барьеров приводит к повышению производительности труда и благосостояния граждан. Влияние миграции на уровень зарплат может зависеть и от доли высококвалифицированных и низкоквалифицированных мигрантов. Перспективным направлением дальнейших исследований является построение CGE-моделей для развивающихся стран, учитывающих такие параметры, как уровень социальной напряженности и гетерогенность фирм.

general equilibrium modellabour marketmigration costsproductivitytrade costsinternal migrationexternal migrationмодель общего равновесиярынок трудаиздержки миграциипроизводительностьиздержки торговливнутренняя миграциявнешняя миграция

The research is supported by the Scientific Fund of the Financial University.

Исследование выполнено при поддержке Научного фонда Финансового университета.

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