2072-64142411-140610.17059/ekon.reg.2023-3-19Impact of Diversity on Regional Economic Growth: A Case Study of IndonesiaВлияние диверсификации на региональный экономический рост (на примере Индонезии)https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5548-9673Siregar Abi PratiwaСирегар Аби Пратива abipratiwasiregar@ugm.ac.idhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7736-8386Widjanarko Nadila Puspa ArumВиджанаркоНадила Пуспа Арумn.puspa@mail.ugm.ac.idUniversitas Gadjah MadaУниверситет Гаджа Мада193870883Copyright © 2023 Abi Pratiwa Siregar, Nadila Puspa Arum WidjanarkoCopyright © 2023 Аби Пратива Сирегар, Надила Пуспа Арум Виджанарко2023Abi Pratiwa Siregar, Nadila Puspa Arum WidjanarkoАби Пратива Сирегар, Надила Пуспа Арум ВиджанаркоCC BY 4.0https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/view/687https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/download/687/239

Economic development at the national level cannot be separated from the influence of economic performance at the regional level. As a country with abundant natural resources and great human resource potential, Indonesia has 34 provinces with relatively different economic bases. Some areas depend on a single category: the primary, secondary, or tertiary sector. Meanwhile, the other provinces have business fields that contribute relatively equal to forming a fairly balanced Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP). These different economic bases produce various impacts when an economic shock occurs. Unfortunately, the effect of economic diversity on GRDP has rarely been the focus of previous studies. Therefore, this study investigates the influence of economic diversity on regional economic growth. Data were collected from the Central Agency of Statistics (BPS) from 2013 to 2020. Then, panel data with a fixed effects generalised least squares method were employed to determine the changes in the dependent variable caused by the changes of the independent variable. Furthermore, data analysis revealed that economic diversity positively and significantly impacts GRDP. In other words, encouraging all business fields to generate value-added goods and services within the region may increase its economy. Moreover, past time experiences empirically conclude that economic shocks heavily hit the tertiary sector. At the same time, the primary industry relatively survived and played the role of economic bearing to prevent an area from further suffering. Lastly, a suggestion for further study is to investigate a combination model of the primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors to support sustainable economic growth.

Национальное экономическое развитие во многом зависит от региональных экономических показателей. Индонезия — страна с богатыми природными ресурсами и огромным человеческим потенциалом, в ней 34 провинции с различной экономической базой. В некоторых регионах развит только один из секторов экономики: первичный, вторичный или третичный. В других провинциях наблюдается равномерное развитие всех трех секторов, влияющее на формирование достаточно сбалансированного валового внутреннего регионального продукта. Экономическая база региона определяет его реакцию на экономические шоки. Поскольку вопрос взаимосвязи между разнообразием экономики и валового внутреннего регионального продукта остается малоизученным, в данной статье исследуется влияние диверсификации на региональный экономический рост. Данные Центрального статистического агентства Индонезии за период с 2013 г. по 2020 г. были проанализированы при помощи обобщенного метода наименьших квадратов с фиксированными эффектами для определения изменений зависимой переменной, вызванных изменениями независимой переменной. Проведенный анализ показал, что диверсификация экономики положительно и существенно влияет на валовый внутренний региональный продукт. Другими словами, производство бизнесом товаров и услуг с добавленной стоимостью во всех секторах способствует экономическому развитию региона. Выявлено, что в условиях экономических потрясений наиболее сильно пострадал третичный сектор экономики, в то время как первичный сектор понес меньшие потери, смягчив последствия кризиса. Дальнейшие исследования могут быть направлены на изучение комбинированной модели, включающей в себя все три сектора экономики, для обеспечения устойчивого экономического роста.

agricultural countryeconomic activityentropyhuman development indexregional economic growthrisk spreadtrade opennessаграрная странаэкономическая активностьэнтропияиндекс человеческого развитиярегиональный экономический ростраспространение рискаоткрытость торговли

The authors would like to express gratitude to Akhmad Nur Muzakki, Arvinda Ayu Pradevi, Dea Monica Efendi, Feby Kinanti Siwi, and Tiffany Qhoirin Nisa for their support in collecting the data.

Авторы выражают благодарность Ахмаду Нуру Музакки, Арвинде Аю Прадеви, Деа Монике Эфенди, Феби Кинанти Сиви и Тиффани Койрин Ниса за помощь в сборе данных.

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