2072-64142411-140610.17059/ekon.reg.2023-2-4SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF CITIES: RATING ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY AND RISK ANALYSIS (USING KAZAKHSTAN AS AN EXAMPLE)УСТОЙЧИВОЕ РАЗВИТИЕ ГОРОДОВ: МЕТОДОЛОГИЯ РЕЙТИНГОВОЙ ОЦЕНКИ И АНАЛИЗ РИСКОВ (НА ПРИМЕРЕ КАЗАХСТАНА)https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4210-3783Nurlanova Nailya K. НурлановаНаиля Капеновна nurlanova.nailya@ieconom.kzhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7451-7470Alzhanova Farida G. Альжанова Фарида Газизовна farida.alzhanova@gmail.comhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1644-3709Satpayeva Zaira T.СатпаеваЗайра Тулегеновна satpayeva.zaira@ieconom.kzInstitute of Economics of the Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of KazakhstanИнститут экономики Комитета науки Министерства науки и высшего образования Республики Казахстан192343354Copyright © 2023 Nailya K. Nurlanova, Farida G. Alzhanova, Zaira T. SatpayevaCopyright © 2023 Наиля Капеновна Нурланова, Фарида Газизовна Альжанова, Зайра Тулегеновна Сатпаева2023Nailya K. Nurlanova, Farida G. Alzhanova, Zaira T. SatpayevaНаиля Капеновна Нурланова, Фарида Газизовна Альжанова, Зайра Тулегеновна СатпаеваCC BY 4.0https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/view/604https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/download/604/198

World experience shows that in the context of the increase in urbanisation, the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals largely depends on the sustainability of cities. It was hypothesised that big cities in Kazakhstan are more stable than medium-sized cities and single-industry towns. The study aims to develop a modified rating assessment methodology for sustainable development of cities and test it using cities in Kazakhstan as an example in order to develop tools for planning and monitoring the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals taking into account country specifics. To this end, such methods as generalisation, concretisation, economic and statistical, factorial and comparative analysis, ranking, and mapping were used. A modified methodology for rating assessment of sustainable development of cities based on social, economic, environmental factors was proposed. The method for the mapping of sustainable development risks was utilised. The research substantiated the criteria and typology of risks of sustainable urban development, which can be adapted to country-specific circumstances. The possibility of its use was demonstrated on the example of different types and categories of cities in Kazakhstan. The study was limited due to the inaccessibility of statistical data, especially for small towns and single-industry towns. The obtained results can be used to simulate and monitor the implementation of socio-economic programmes in cities of Kazakhstan and other countries. The research findings can be used as the basis for mechanisms and tools intended to make decisions by authorities to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals and develop sustainable cities.

Мировой опыт показывает, что в условиях роста урбанизации достижение целей устойчивого развития во многом зависит от развития городов. Гипотезой исследования стало предположение, что крупные города Казахстана устойчивее, чем средние и моногорода. Цель настоящего исследования — разработка модифицированной методологии рейтинговой оценки устойчивого развития городов и ее апробация на примере городов Казахстана для создания инструментов планирования и мониторинга достижения целей устойчивого развития с учетом страновой специфики. Для достижения поставленной цели использовались такие методы, как обобщение, конкретизация, экономико-статистический, факторный и сравнительный анализ, ранжирование, картирование. Предложена модифицированная методология рейтинговой оценки устойчивого развития городов на основе трех факторов: социального, экономического, экологического. Использован метод картирования рисков устойчивого развития, обоснованы критерии и типология рисков устойчивого развития городов, которые могут быть адаптированы к страновой специфике. Продемонстрирована возможность использования разработанной методологии на примере разных типов и категорий городов Казахстана. Ограничением исследования является недоступность статических данных для малых и моногородов. Полученные данные могут быть использованы для моделирования и мониторинга выполнения социально-экономических программ в городах Казахстана и других стран. Результаты исследования могут быть положены в основу механизмов и инструментов принятия решений органами власти для достижения целей устойчивого развития городов.

sustainable developmenturbanisationsustainable cityeconomic sustainabilitysocial sustainabilityenvironmental sustainabilityfactors of sustainable city developmentsustainable development rating of citiessustainability risksустойчивое развитиеурбанизацияустойчивый городэкономическая устойчивостьсоциальная устойчивостьэкологическая устойчивостьрейтинг устойчивого развития городовриски устойчивого развития

The article has been prepared with the support of the Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan (Grant No. AP08955816 “Rating assessment of the sustainability of the economy and social environment of Kazakhstani cities”).

Данное исследование было выполнено при финансовой поддержке Комитета науки Министерства образования и науки Республики Казахстан (Грант №AP08955816 «Рейтинговая оценка устойчивости экономики и социальной среды городов Казахстана»).

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