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<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Archiving and Interchange DTD v1.4 20241031//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/archiving/1.4/JATS-archive-oasis-article1-4-mathml3.dtd">
<article xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" article-type="research-article" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><issn publication-format="print">2072-6414</issn><issn publication-format="electronic">2411-1406</issn></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.17059/ekon.reg.2023-3-9</article-id><title-group xml:lang="en"><article-title>Assessment of the Demographic Reserve to Extend the Economic Activity of the Older Population in the Northern Region</article-title></title-group><title-group xml:lang="ru"><article-title>Оценка демографического резерва продления экономической активности населения старших возрастов в северном регионе</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0448-3519</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Kozlova</surname><given-names>Olga A.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Козлова</surname><given-names>Ольга Анатольевна </given-names></name></name-alternatives><email>kozlova.oa@uiec.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4573-2761</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Provorova </surname><given-names>Anna A. </given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Проворова </surname><given-names>Анна Андреевна </given-names></name></name-alternatives><email>aashirikova@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3678-3911</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Gubina </surname><given-names>Olga V. </given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Губина</surname><given-names>Ольга Владимировна </given-names></name></name-alternatives><email>welcomeforyou@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff1"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Institute of Economics of the Ural Branch of RAS</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Институт экономики УрО РАН</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff2"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">N. Laverov Federal Center for Integrated Arctic Research of the Ural Branch of RAS</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Федеральный исследовательский центр комплексного изучения Арктики им. академика Н.П. Лаверова УрО РАН</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2023-09-27" publication-format="electronic"/><volume>19</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>729</fpage><lpage>740</lpage><history><date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2023-04-05"/><date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="2023-06-15"/></history><permissions><copyright-statement xml:lang="en">Copyright © 2023 Olga A. Kozlova, Anna A. Provorova, Olga V. Gubina</copyright-statement><copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">Copyright © 2023 Ольга Анатольевна  Козлова, Анна Андреевна Проворова, Ольга Владимировна Губина</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2023</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Olga A. Kozlova, Anna A. Provorova, Olga V. Gubina</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Ольга Анатольевна  Козлова, Анна Андреевна Проворова, Ольга Владимировна Губина</copyright-holder><ali:free_to_read/><license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><license-p>CC BY 4.0</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri content-type="html" mimetype="text/html" xlink:title="article webpage" xlink:href="https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/view/532">https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/view/532</self-uri><self-uri content-type="pdf" mimetype="application/pdf" xlink:title="article pdf" xlink:href="https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/download/532/228">https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/download/532/228</self-uri><abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The development of the Russian North and Arctic requires labour resources, primarily from among local inhabitants. This goal can be achieved due to an increase in the retirement age in Russia; however, the involvement of local older population in social production is limited by health problems and low life expectancy. The study hypothesises that the extension of economic activity of older people in the northern regions is possible with an increase in their life expectancy. In order to assess the years of life lost according on the causes of death, statistical analysis of life expectancy at birth (LEB) and calculations of the eliminated reserves of mortality were performed. To this end, the research examined statistics of the Federal State Statistics Service on demographic processes in the Russian North and data of Arkhangelskstat on age-specific mortality rates of Arkhangelsk oblast, one of the regions of the Far North and areas equated to them. The obtained results indicate high rates of future years of life lost from all leading causes of death for older men. Diseases of the circulatory system and external causes of death among male population, and diseases of the circulatory system and neoplasms among female population are the main reasons for the reduction in life expectancy in Arkhangelsk oblast. The maximum reduction in mortality from diseases of the circulatory system would increase the life expectancy of the inhabitants of Arkhangelsk oblast by 6.17 years, which would help extend the economic activity of the older population. The research findings can be used to update national projects and regional programmes for the development of the healthcare system, as well as to improve the quality of life of the northern population.</p></abstract><abstract xml:lang="ru"><p>Освоение северных и арктических территорий России обусловливает необходимость обеспечения северных и арктических регионов России трудовыми ресурсами, прежде всего, из числа жителей этих регионов. Повышение пенсионного возраста россиян определяет такую возможность, при этом вовлечение в общественное производство местного населения старших возрастов ограничивается проблемами, связанными со здоровьем, и низкой продолжительностью жизни. Авторы настоящей статьи предполагают, что пролонгация экономической активности населения старших возрастов в северном регионе возможна при росте их ожидаемой продолжительности жизни. Исследование построено на комплексном использовании методов статистического анализа ожидаемой продолжительности жизни при рождении (ОПЖ) и расчетах элиминированных резервов смертности, что дает возможность осуществить оценку потерянных лет жизни населения в зависимости от причин смерти. Информационной базой исследования послужили статистические данные Росстата о демографических процессах на территории российских северных регионов и данных Архангельскстата, содержащие информацию о повозрастных коэффициентах смертности населения Архангельской области, территория которой полностью включена в перечень районов Крайнего Севера и местностей, приравненных к ним. Результаты исследования свидетельствуют о высоких масштабах потерь предстоящей жизни у мужчин старшего возраста по всем основным классам причин смерти. Наибольший вклад в сокращение ожидаемой продолжительности жизни мужского населения Архангельской области вносят болезни системы кровообращения и внешние причины смертности, в сокращение ожидаемой продолжительности жизни женского населения — болезни системы кровообращения и новообразования. Максимальное снижение смертности по причине болезней системы кровообращения могло бы увеличить продолжительность жизни населения Архангельской области на 6,17 года, что способствовало бы продлению экономической активности населения старшей возрастной группы. Полученные результаты могут использоваться для корректировки национальных проектов, региональных программ развития системы здравоохранения и повышения качества жизни населения, проживающего в условиях севера.</p></abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>northern region</kwd><kwd>older population</kwd><kwd>economic activity</kwd><kwd>life expectancy</kwd><kwd>morbidity</kwd><kwd>eliminated reserves of mortality</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>северный регион</kwd><kwd>население старших возрастов</kwd><kwd>экономическая активность</kwd><kwd>ожидаемая продолжительность жизни</kwd><kwd>заболеваемость</kwd><kwd>элиминированные резервы смертности</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body/><back><ref-list><ref id="en-ref1"><label>1</label><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Amditis, A., Bekiaris, E., Braedel, C. &amp; Knauth, P. (2003). Dealing with the Problems of Elderly Workforce — The RESPECT Approach. In: H. Strasser, K. Kluth, H. Rausch, H. 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