<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Archiving and Interchange DTD v1.4 20241031//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/archiving/1.4/JATS-archive-oasis-article1-4-mathml3.dtd">
<article xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" article-type="research-article" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><issn publication-format="print">2072-6414</issn><issn publication-format="electronic">2411-1406</issn></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.17059/ekon.reg.2025-1-5</article-id><title-group xml:lang="en"><article-title>Civilizational Fork in our Time and Development Alternatives</article-title></title-group><title-group xml:lang="ru"><article-title>Цивилизационная развилка нашего времени и альтернативы развития</article-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0136-5303</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Bodrunov</surname><given-names>Sergey D.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Бодрунов</surname><given-names>Сергей Дмитриевич </given-names></name></name-alternatives><email>inir@inir.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff1"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">S. Y. Witte Institute for New Industrial Development</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Институт нового индустриального развития им. С. Ю. Витте</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff2"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">The Free Economic Society of Russia</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Вольное экономическое общество России</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2024-12-17" publication-format="electronic"/><volume>21</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>61</fpage><lpage>69</lpage><history><date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2024-10-15"/><date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="2024-11-18"/></history><permissions><copyright-statement xml:lang="en">Copyright © 2025 Sergey D. Bodrunov</copyright-statement><copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">Copyright © 2025 Сергей Дмитриевич  Бодрунов</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Sergey D. Bodrunov</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Сергей Дмитриевич  Бодрунов</copyright-holder><ali:free_to_read/><license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"><ali:license_ref>https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ali:license_ref></license></permissions><self-uri content-type="html" mimetype="text/html" xlink:title="article webpage" xlink:href="https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/view/1067">https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/view/1067</self-uri><self-uri content-type="pdf" mimetype="application/pdf" xlink:title="article pdf" xlink:href="https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/download/1067/402">https://www.economyofregions.org/ojs/index.php/er/article/download/1067/402</self-uri><abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The signs of a civilizational crisis are becoming increasingly evident and cannot be ignored. Humanity stands at a critical crossroads: either the crisis deepens, potentially leading to severe consequences and the collapse of civilization, or effective strategies are identified and implemented to transform these challenges into opportunities for progress. This article examines the role of technological progress in both exacerbating the crisis and creating the conditions necessary to overcome it. The modern technological revolution is reshaping knowledge-intensive material production, altering the nature of human activity and needs, and laying the groundwork for a transition to a non-economic mode of production and the fulfilment of human needs—noonomy. However, the neoliberal economic paradigm often conflicts with the socio-economic progress driven by recent technological advancements. Addressing this issue does not require dismantling the existing socio-economic system but rather its gradual and systematic transformation. The shift toward noonomy and noocommunity should be recognized as an objective historical trend, guiding the development of a strategic program. This transition will require the emergence—or nooevolution—of new value orientations, or noovalues, grounded in a noocriterial value framework. This framework, rooted in fundamental humanistic principles, will emphasize the development of individuals as bearers of knowledge and culture.</p></abstract><abstract xml:lang="ru"><p>По мере нарастания признаков цивилизационного кризиса становится ясно, что человечество переживает критический момент: либо кризисные процессы продолжат обостряться, что может привести к серьезным последствиям и краху цивилизации, либо мы определяем и внедряем эффективные стратегии для решения этих проблем, тем самым превращая их в возможности для дальнейшего развития. Чтобы решить эту проблему, необходимо изучение влияния технического прогресса как на усугубление кризиса, так и на создание предпосылок для его преодоления. Современная технологическая революция формирует знаниеемкое материальное производство, меняет содержание человеческой деятельности и потребности человека, создавая тем самым материальные условия для перехода к неэкономическому способу производства и удовлетворения потребностей человека – к ноономике. Однако неолиберальная экономическая парадигма часто вступает в противоречие с задачами социально-экономического прогресса, опирающегося на последние технологические достижения. Это противоречие можно разрешить не путем демонтажа существующей социально-экономической системы, но через ее постепенную и систематическую трансформацию. Переход к ноономике и нообществу следует признать объективной исторической тенденцией, которая определит характер соответствующей стратегической программы. Этот переход потребует развития (или “нооэволюции”) новых ценностных ориентаций (или “нооценностей”), основанных на ноокритериальной системе ценностей. Эта структура будет основываться на фундаментальных гуманистических принципах, в которых на первый план выйдет развитие личности как носителя знаний и культуры.</p></abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>noonomy</kwd><kwd>civilizational fork</kwd><kwd>development strategy</kwd><kwd>technological mode</kwd><kwd>neoliberalism</kwd><kwd>noovalues</kwd><kwd>nooevolution</kwd><kwd>economic rationality</kwd><kwd>non-economic society</kwd><kwd>knowledge</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>ноономия</kwd><kwd>цивилизационная развилка</kwd><kwd>стратегия развития</kwd><kwd>технологический уклад</kwd><kwd>неолиберализм</kwd><kwd>нооценности</kwd><kwd>нооэволюция</kwd><kwd>экономическая рациональность</kwd><kwd>неэкономическое общество</kwd><kwd>знание</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body/><back><ref-list><ref id="ref1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Acar-Burkay, S., Schei, V., Beersma, B., &amp; Warlop, L. (2021). You can’t ‘fake it till you make it’: Cooperative motivation does not help proself trustees. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 92, 104078. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jesp.2020.104078 </mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Acar-Burkay, S., Schei, V., Beersma, B., &amp; Warlop, L. (2021). You can’t ‘fake it till you make it’: Cooperative motivation does not help proself trustees. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 92, 104078. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jesp.2020.104078 </mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Baudrillard, J. (1972). Pour une critique di l’economie politique du signe. Editions Gallimard. </mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Baudrillard, J. (1972). Pour une critique di l’economie politique du signe. Editions Gallimard. </mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Baudrillard, J. (1981). Simulacra and Simulation. Editions Galilee. </mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Baudrillard, J. (1981). Simulacra and Simulation. Editions Galilee. </mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Bodrunov, S. D. (2018). Noonomika [Noonomy]. Moscow: Cultural Revolution Publ., 432. (In Russ.)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Bodrunov, S. D. (2018). Noonomika [Noonomy]. Moscow: Cultural Revolution Publ., 432. (In Russ.)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Bodrunov, S. D. (2022). From economic interests to noovalues. Voprosy filosofii, 7, 15–26. (In Russ.)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Bodrunov, S. D. (2022). From economic interests to noovalues. Voprosy filosofii, 7, 15–26. (In Russ.)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Bodrunov, S., Desai, R., &amp; Freeman, A. (2022). Beyond the global crisis: noononomy, creativity, geopolitical economy. St. Petersburg: S. Y. Witte INID.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Bodrunov, S., Desai, R., &amp; Freeman, A. (2022). Beyond the global crisis: noononomy, creativity, geopolitical economy. St. Petersburg: S. Y. Witte INID.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Brabham, D. C. (2013). Crowdsourcing. The MIT Press.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Brabham, D. C. (2013). Crowdsourcing. The MIT Press.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Buzgalin, A. V., &amp; Kolganov, A. I. (2012). The Market of Simulacra: a Look Through the Prism of Classical Political Economy. Filosofiya khozyaystva [Philosophy of Economy], (3(81)), 181–192. (In Russ.)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Buzgalin, A. V., &amp; Kolganov, A. I. (2012). The Market of Simulacra: a Look Through the Prism of Classical Political Economy. Filosofiya khozyaystva [Philosophy of Economy], (3(81)), 181–192. (In Russ.)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref9"><label>9</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Buzgalin, A., &amp; Kolganov, A. (2021). Twenty-first-century capital: Critical post-Soviet Marxist reflections. Manchester University Press.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Buzgalin, A., &amp; Kolganov, A. (2021). Twenty-first-century capital: Critical post-Soviet Marxist reflections. Manchester University Press.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref10"><label>10</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">DeBalsi, B. (2021). Motivating factors influencing the decision to create worker cooperative businesses. The University of Alabama at Birmingham. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.16877.51687</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">DeBalsi, B. (2021). Motivating factors influencing the decision to create worker cooperative businesses. The University of Alabama at Birmingham. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.16877.51687</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref11"><label>11</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Deleuze, G. (1992). Postscript on Societies of Control. October, 59, 3-7. https://cidadeinseguranca.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/deleuze_control.pdf (Date of access: 29.08.2024).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Deleuze, G. (1992). Postscript on Societies of Control. October, 59, 3-7. https://cidadeinseguranca.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/deleuze_control.pdf (Date of access: 29.08.2024).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref12"><label>12</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Desai, R. (2013). Geopolitical Economy: After Hegemony, Globalization and Empire. Pluto Press. https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctt183gzc1</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Desai, R. (2013). Geopolitical Economy: After Hegemony, Globalization and Empire. Pluto Press. https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctt183gzc1</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref13"><label>13</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Estoque, R. C., Dasgupta, R., Winkler, K., Avitabile, V., Johnson, B. A., Myint, S. W., Gao, Y., Ooba, M., Murayama, Y., &amp; Lasco, R. D. (2022). Spatiotemporal pattern of global forest change over the past 60 years and the forest transition theory. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (8), 084022. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748–9326/ac7df5</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Estoque, R. C., Dasgupta, R., Winkler, K., Avitabile, V., Johnson, B. A., Myint, S. W., Gao, Y., Ooba, M., Murayama, Y., &amp; Lasco, R. D. (2022). Spatiotemporal pattern of global forest change over the past 60 years and the forest transition theory. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (8), 084022. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748–9326/ac7df5</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref14"><label>14</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Fasman, J. (2021). We See It All: Liberty and Justice in an Age of Perpetual Surveillance. Scribe Publications.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Fasman, J. (2021). We See It All: Liberty and Justice in an Age of Perpetual Surveillance. Scribe Publications.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref15"><label>15</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Foucault, M. (1975). Surveiller et punir: Naissance de la prison. Gallimard.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Foucault, M. (1975). Surveiller et punir: Naissance de la prison. Gallimard.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref16"><label>16</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Foucault, M. (2004). Naissance de la biopolitique: cours au Collège de France (1978–1979). Gallimard.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Foucault, M. (2004). Naissance de la biopolitique: cours au Collège de France (1978–1979). Gallimard.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref17"><label>17</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Freeman, A. (2015). Twilight of the Machinocrats: Creative Industries, Design, and the Future of Human Labour. In: Pijl K. van der. (ed.). Handbook of the International Political Economy of Production. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. P. 352–374.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Freeman, A. (2015). Twilight of the Machinocrats: Creative Industries, Design, and the Future of Human Labour. In: Pijl K. van der. (ed.). Handbook of the International Political Economy of Production. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. P. 352–374.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref18"><label>18</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Freeman, Ch., &amp; Perez, C. (1988). Structural Crises of Adjustment, Business Cycles and Investment Behaviour. In G. Dosi, Ch. Freeman, R. Nelson, G. Silverberg, L. Soete (Eds.), Technical Change and Economic Theory (pp. 38-66). Pinter Publisher.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Freeman, Ch., &amp; Perez, C. (1988). Structural Crises of Adjustment, Business Cycles and Investment Behaviour. In G. Dosi, Ch. Freeman, R. Nelson, G. Silverberg, L. Soete (Eds.), Technical Change and Economic Theory (pp. 38-66). Pinter Publisher.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref19"><label>19</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Galbraith, J. K. (1967). The New Industrial State. Boston, MA: Houghton Mifflin. </mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Galbraith, J. K. (1967). The New Industrial State. Boston, MA: Houghton Mifflin. </mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref20"><label>20</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Glazyev, S. Y. (2016). National economy structures in the global economic development. Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody [Economics and the Mathematical Methods], 52 (2), 3–29. (In Russ.)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Glazyev, S. Y. (2016). National economy structures in the global economic development. Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody [Economics and the Mathematical Methods], 52 (2), 3–29. (In Russ.)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref21"><label>21</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Jameson, F. (1991). Postmodernism or the Cultural Logic of Late Capitalism. Duke University Press. </mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Jameson, F. (1991). Postmodernism or the Cultural Logic of Late Capitalism. Duke University Press. </mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref22"><label>22</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Lvov, D. S., &amp; Glazyev, S. Yu. (1986). Theoretical and applied aspects of NTP management. Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody [Economics and the Mathematical Methods], 22 (5), 793–804. (In Russ.)</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Lvov, D. S., &amp; Glazyev, S. Yu. (1986). Theoretical and applied aspects of NTP management. Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody [Economics and the Mathematical Methods], 22 (5), 793–804. (In Russ.)</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref23"><label>23</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Naudé, W., &amp; Szirmai, A. (2012). The importance of manufacturing in economic development: past, present and future perspectives. MERIT Working Papers 2012-041, United Nations University – Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT). </mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Naudé, W., &amp; Szirmai, A. (2012). The importance of manufacturing in economic development: past, present and future perspectives. MERIT Working Papers 2012-041, United Nations University – Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT). </mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref24"><label>24</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Perez, C. (1983). Structural Change and Assimilation of New Technologies in The Economic and Social Systems. Futures, 15 (5), 357–375. https://doi.org/10.1016/0016–3287(83)90050-2</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Perez, C. (1983). Structural Change and Assimilation of New Technologies in The Economic and Social Systems. Futures, 15 (5), 357–375. https://doi.org/10.1016/0016–3287(83)90050-2</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref25"><label>25</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Roco, M. C., &amp; Bainbridge, W. S. (2003). Overview Converging Technologies for Improving Human Performance. In M. C. Roco, W. S. Bainbridge (Eds.), Converging Technologies for Improving Human Performance: Nanotechnology, Biotechnology, Information Technology and Cognitive Science (pp. 1–27). Arlington, Virginia. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/bioecon-%28 %23 %20023SUPP%29 %20NSF-NBIC.pdf (Date of access 29.08.2024).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Roco, M. C., &amp; Bainbridge, W. S. (2003). Overview Converging Technologies for Improving Human Performance. In M. C. Roco, W. S. Bainbridge (Eds.), Converging Technologies for Improving Human Performance: Nanotechnology, Biotechnology, Information Technology and Cognitive Science (pp. 1–27). Arlington, Virginia. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/bioecon-%28 %23 %20023SUPP%29 %20NSF-NBIC.pdf (Date of access 29.08.2024).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref26"><label>26</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Smil, V. (2013). Making the Modern World: Materials and Dematerialization. John Wiley &amp; Sons.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Smil, V. (2013). Making the Modern World: Materials and Dematerialization. John Wiley &amp; Sons.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref27"><label>27</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Spohrer, J. (2004). NBICS (Nano-Bio-Info-Cogno-Socio) Convergence to Improve Human Performance: Opportunities and Challenges. In M. Roco, W. Bainbridge (Eds.), Converging Technologies for Improving Human Performance: Nanotechnology, Biotechnology, Information Technology and Cognitive Science. (pp. 101-116). https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/bioecon-%28 %23 %20023SUPP%29 %20NSF-NBIC.pdf (Date of access 29.08.2024).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Spohrer, J. (2004). NBICS (Nano-Bio-Info-Cogno-Socio) Convergence to Improve Human Performance: Opportunities and Challenges. In M. Roco, W. Bainbridge (Eds.), Converging Technologies for Improving Human Performance: Nanotechnology, Biotechnology, Information Technology and Cognitive Science. (pp. 101-116). https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/bioecon-%28 %23 %20023SUPP%29 %20NSF-NBIC.pdf (Date of access 29.08.2024).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="ref28"><label>28</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Westkämper, E. (2014). Towards the Re-Industrialization of Europe: A Concept for Manufacturing for 2030. Springer-Verlag. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38502-5</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Westkämper, E. (2014). Towards the Re-Industrialization of Europe: A Concept for Manufacturing for 2030. Springer-Verlag. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38502-5</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list></back></article>